I wuz gonna take today off, particularly if the most recent numbers were troubling, but since they reinforce the prevailing downward trend, let’s take a quick look:
Date Total Cases % Increase
3/18 288 78 percent
3/19 422 46.5 percent
3/20 585 37 percent
3/21 753 29 percent
3/22 1,049 39 percent
3/23 1,285 22.5 percent
3/24 1,535 19.5 percent
3/25 1,865 21.5 percent
3/26 2,538 37 percent
3/27 3,026 19 percent
So, yes! Reported coronavirus cases are still increasing in Illinois, but, because Shelter in Place is working, the rate of transmission continues to decelerate and the curve continues to flatten.
The daily differences in those percentages may also be decreasing, but as we’ve already discussed, those small changes will come back in the form of much larger dividends later.
The recent numbers also mean that, unless there’s a change in coronavirus containment strategy, we’re in this for the long haul.
Illinois also reports 34 coronavirus deaths bringing our mortality rate – for people who had the virus – to 1.1 percent, a very small tick upward. Beware, that this is a lagging indicator which may soon move upward.
Here are the applicable new national case numbers:
New York 46,242
New Jersey 8,825
Please note that Illinois, with our reported case flattening curve, has dropped to 8th place on the “leader board,” which is a really good short-term sign, especially when you consider Chicago’s population density.
And I say “short-term” because we’re all connected and if other states don’t keep the lid on this, it will eventually come back to bite us.
My fondest wish is that today’s number is equally encouraging. Please! Keep up the good work!